Inter Milan have established themselves as the overwhelming frontrunners for the 2025–26 Serie A title, building a commanding ten-point lead over second-placed AC Milan as of late February 2026. Their dominant run included a 5-0 demolition of Sassuolo, a 2-0 win at Lecce, and a dramatic 3-2 Derby d'Italia victory over Juventus secured by Piotr Zielński's 90th-minute winner. With that margin of advantage and consistent performances across the period, Inter's grip on the Scudetto appears firm barring a significant collapse.
Napoli, managed by Antonio Conte, remain in the title conversation but have endured a turbulent stretch that has complicated their challenge. After promising results including a 3-2 win at Genoa and a 2-1 victory over Fiorentina, they suffered a Coppa Italia elimination by Como on penalties, a 2-1 defeat to Atalanta in Bergamo, and could only manage a 2-2 draw with Roma at the Maradona. Conte's public frustration over injuries and a "passive" transfer window signals internal concern, and disciplinary proceedings opened against him by the Italian Football Federation add further distraction. Napoli appear to be in third place, with their title bid increasingly dependent on Inter stumbling.
Juventus, meanwhile, have effectively removed themselves from title contention following a catastrophic run of five defeats in six matches between late January and late February. Eliminations from the Coppa Italia (3-0 to Atalanta) and the Champions League (5-2 on aggregate to Galatasaray), combined with the Derby d'Italia defeat and a 2-0 home loss to Como, have left the club in crisis. Manager Luciano Spalletti's position remains under scrutiny despite board backing, and internal tensions — including a reported confrontation between Kenan Yıldız and Spalletti — compound the difficulties. Juventus's focus has realistically shifted to securing a European qualification place rather than challenging for the title.
The principal uncertainty surrounding the title race is Inter's fitness situation, particularly Lautaro Martínez's calf injury, which threatened his availability for the Milan derby. AC Milan, five points behind Inter after their 3-0 win at Bologna, remain the most credible challenger mathematically, though their own manager has publicly framed Champions League qualification as the primary objective. The ongoing VAR controversy stemming from the Derby d'Italia — which prompted death threats against referee Federico La Penna and calls for systemic reform — adds an unpredictable institutional backdrop to the remainder of the season.